College Basketball Evolution

by | Oct 27, 2022

In 2016, the NCAA changed the shot clock from 35 seconds to 30 seconds to increase the amount of possessions in a game. The shot clock change impacted college basketball in the following ways.

  • Team 2 point shooting percentage average increased from 47.7% to 50.0% by 2019.
  • Team average possessions per game increased from 64 to 69 by 2019.
  • Team 3 point shooting percentage average had a minor increase from 34.4 % to 35.0% before the NCAA moved the three point line back in 2019.

The analysis also studied offensive and defensive efficiency figure from 2013-2019.

  • UCONN, Duke, Louisville, North Carolina, Villanova and Virginia won the NCAA championship from 2013-2019.
  • UCONN had the lowest offensive efficiency averaging 1.10 points per possession.
  • Duke and Villanova had the most efficient offenses averaging above 1.20 points per possession.
  • Louisville had the best defense holding opponents below 0.80 points per possession.
  • Every championship team won 30 or more games.
  • UCONN won the fewest games out of all the championship teams.

Championship contending teams have elite defenses that limit opponents to 0.80 points per possession or lower.

Championship contending teams have elite offenses that score around 1.20 points per possession.

If a college basketball team has offensive and defensive efficiency that match the two figures above, they are a true contender for the college basketball championship. They are an elite team.

Please view the college basketball analytical dashboard

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